Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 11, 2026, 11:04 AM to 11:33 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 11, 2026 at 11:04 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 23.0769. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:33 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.72348.3390.94Nov 11, 11:04 AM ET11:33 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:04 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.72348.3390.94Nov 11, 11:04 AM ET11:33 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:04 AM ET23.0769
Projected value at 11:33 AM ET51.8451
Actual value at 11:33 AM ET4.7619
Projected change across the window+28.7682
Actual change across the window-18.315
Bars moving the same direction18 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.57 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 67% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:25 AM ET), where they sat 0.415373 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (11:05 AM ET) with a gap of 76.4555. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (11:10 AM ET), a move of -44.8276. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:05 AM81.86095.40541-76.4555
611:10 AM58.584110.3448-48.2392
1211:16 AM23.364683.7838+60.4192
1811:22 AM29.261347.619+18.3577
2411:28 AM44.605616-28.6056
2911:33 AM51.84514.7619-47.0832

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.