Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 9, 2026, 12:30 PM to 12:59 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 97.3684. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:59 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.91249.2991.68Nov 9, 12:30 PM ET12:59 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:30 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.91249.2991.68Nov 9, 12:30 PM ET12:59 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:30 PM ET97.3684
Projected value at 12:59 PM ET69.1806
Actual value at 12:59 PM ET73.2558
Projected change across the window-28.1878
Actual change across the window-24.1126
Bars moving the same direction17 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.17×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.17 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 63% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (12:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.687106 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (12:50 PM ET) with a gap of 72.7825. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (12:53 PM ET), a move of +54.985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:31 PM86.273580.6452-5.62836
612:36 PM62.995477.2727+14.2773
1212:42 PM46.862757.1429+10.2801
1812:48 PM48.17321.21951-46.9537
2412:54 PM54.231644.2857-9.94588
2912:59 PM69.180673.2558+4.07521

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.