Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 6, 2026, 4:22 PM to 4:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 6, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 83.75. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.925094.08Nov 6, 4:22 PM ET4:51 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.925094.08Nov 6, 4:22 PM ET4:51 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:22 PM ET83.75
Projected value at 4:51 PM ET94.828
Actual value at 4:51 PM ET93.9024
Projected change across the window+11.078
Actual change across the window+10.1524
Bars moving the same direction21 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.09×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.09 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 75% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (4:29 PM ET), where they sat 0.122981 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (4:26 PM ET) with a gap of 45.932. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (4:23 PM ET), a move of -36.875. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:23 PM77.948246.875-31.0732
64:28 PM79.761772.0588-7.70286
124:34 PM28.90647.9167+19.0107
184:40 PM32.82947.21649-25.6129
244:46 PM52.493590.2439+37.7504
294:51 PM94.82893.9024-0.925548

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.