Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 10:35 PM to 11:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 10:35 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 91.4634. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.84149.3392.82Nov 12, 10:35 PM ET11:04 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.84149.3392.82Nov 12, 10:35 PM ET11:04 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:35 PM ET91.4634
Projected value at 11:04 PM ET98.6622
Actual value at 11:04 PM ET79.8387
Projected change across the window+7.19877
Actual change across the window-11.6247
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (10:47 PM ET), where they sat 9.01434 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (10:57 PM ET) with a gap of 84.9206. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (10:43 PM ET), a move of -52.0998. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:36 PM59.242796.789+37.5463
610:41 PM43.589498.4252+54.8358
1210:47 PM17.456226.4706+9.01434
1810:53 PM28.782763.0769+34.2942
2410:59 PM6.913578.5714+71.6579
2911:04 PM98.662279.8387-18.8235

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.