Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, November 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 9, 2026, 12:34 PM to 1:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 9, 2026 at 12:34 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 75.5789. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.85147.5989.32Nov 9, 12:34 PM ET1:03 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.85147.5989.32Nov 9, 12:34 PM ET1:03 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:34 PM ET75.5789
Projected value at 1:03 PM ET38.9042
Actual value at 1:03 PM ET44.4882
Projected change across the window-36.6748
Actual change across the window-31.0908
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (12:44 PM ET), where they sat 0.63176 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (12:57 PM ET) with a gap of 78.8125. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (12:46 PM ET), a move of -27.1978. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:35 PM88.95794.8164+5.85937
612:40 PM45.571690+44.4284
1212:46 PM54.189821.8659-32.3239
1812:52 PM49.02423.56234-45.4619
2412:58 PM85.96228.57143-77.3908
291:03 PM38.904244.4882+5.58401

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.