Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, November 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 9, 2026, 10:30 AM to 10:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 9, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 26.5537. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.5152.6290.72Nov 9, 10:30 AM ET10:59 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.5152.6290.72Nov 9, 10:30 AM ET10:59 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:30 AM ET26.5537
Projected value at 10:59 AM ET31.6526
Actual value at 10:59 AM ET22.8188
Projected change across the window+5.09896
Actual change across the window-3.73488
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.37×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.37 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (10:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.701981 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:30 AM ET) with a gap of 43.2387. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (10:45 AM ET), a move of -58.2647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:31 AM59.721550.805-8.91645
610:36 AM30.684447.2272+16.5428
1210:42 AM57.882581.932+24.0495
1810:48 AM46.542147.2441+0.701981
2410:54 AM68.573278.5185+9.94532
2910:59 AM31.652622.8188-8.83384

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.