Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 5 minute chart, November 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 10, 2026, 11:57 AM to 2:22 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 10, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 5 minute chart read 41.7867. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:22 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.25450.1493.02Nov 10, 11:57 AM ET2:22 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.25450.1493.02Nov 10, 11:57 AM ET2:22 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:57 AM ET41.7867
Projected value at 2:22 PM ET70.3465
Actual value at 2:22 PM ET95.7106
Projected change across the window+28.5597
Actual change across the window+53.9238
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (1:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.723274 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (12:07 PM ET) with a gap of 69.1094. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (12:07 PM ET), a move of +21.625. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:02 PM9.0139659.2841+50.2702
612:27 PM30.705185.1528+54.4477
1212:57 PM21.13754.7558+33.6188
181:27 PM49.776122.9314-26.8446
241:57 PM89.641698.1117+8.47015
292:22 PM70.346595.7106+25.3641

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.