Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 3:14 PM to 7:45 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 22, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 92.8105. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:45 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.3551.1187.87Sep 22, 3:14 PM ET7:45 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:14 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.3551.1187.87Sep 22, 3:14 PM ET7:45 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:14 PM ET92.8105
Projected value at 7:45 PM ET52.1154
Actual value at 7:45 PM ET50.2525
Projected change across the window-40.6951
Actual change across the window-42.5579
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:53 AM ET), where they sat 0.904537 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (6:58 AM ET) with a gap of 37.8462. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (9:08 PM ET), a move of -61.8421. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:13 PM84.262655.5556-28.707
69:08 PM63.191928.2895-34.9024
123:02 AM48.076946.3158-1.76114
188:56 AM49.138138.7097-10.4285
242:50 PM51.653477.4809+25.8275
297:45 PM52.115450.2525-1.86284

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 59 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.