Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 2:50 PM to 7:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 74.4275. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.69850.3492.99Sep 22, 2:50 PM ET7:21 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.69850.3492.99Sep 22, 2:50 PM ET7:21 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:50 PM ET74.4275
Projected value at 7:21 PM ET42.723
Actual value at 7:21 PM ET44.1441
Projected change across the window-31.7044
Actual change across the window-30.2833
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:21 PM ET), where they sat 1.42111 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (12:28 PM ET) with a gap of 50.3721. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (11:29 AM ET), a move of +50.7384. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:49 PM66.656363.3588-3.29752
68:44 PM46.180541.6667-4.5138
122:38 AM49.08634.6798-44.4065
188:32 AM47.058527.8008-19.2577
242:26 PM47.987596.0265+48.039
297:21 PM42.72344.1441+1.42111

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 59-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.