Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 2:34 PM to 7:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 11.6935. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

16.7555.1593.56Sep 22, 2:34 PM ET7:05 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

16.7555.1593.56Sep 22, 2:34 PM ET7:05 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:34 PM ET11.6935
Projected value at 7:05 PM ET52.713
Actual value at 7:05 PM ET84.8624
Projected change across the window+41.0195
Actual change across the window+73.1688
Bars moving the same direction18 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 64% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:13 AM ET), where they sat 1.72598 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (9:27 PM ET) with a gap of 63.7528. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (8:28 PM ET), a move of +50.7384. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:33 PM17.391835.1931+17.8013
68:28 PM34.908490.1575+55.2491
122:22 AM48.091959.5506+11.4586
188:16 AM46.375252+5.62483
242:10 PM50.053574.1433+24.0898
297:05 PM52.71384.8624+32.1493

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 59-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.