Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 2:19 PM to 6:50 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 22, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 15.5556. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:50 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

20.1454.2788.4Sep 22, 2:19 PM ET6:50 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:19 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

20.1454.2788.4Sep 22, 2:19 PM ET6:50 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:19 PM ET15.5556
Projected value at 6:50 PM ET50.3637
Actual value at 6:50 PM ET56.6038
Projected change across the window+34.8082
Actual change across the window+41.0482
Bars moving the same direction19 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 68% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (9:12 PM ET), where they sat 1.9244 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:19 PM ET) with a gap of 70.5998. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (5:04 AM ET), a move of -44.4842. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:18 PM82.295952-30.2959
68:13 PM64.448743.6137-20.835
122:07 AM49.214792.9825+43.7678
188:01 AM46.568638.4615-8.10702
241:55 PM48.923454.3103+5.38693
296:50 PM50.363756.6038+6.24004

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 59 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.