Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:02 PM to 5:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 69.8276. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.90348.5190.11Sep 22, 1:02 PM ET5:33 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.90348.5190.11Sep 22, 1:02 PM ET5:33 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:02 PM ET69.8276
Projected value at 5:33 PM ET45.4266
Actual value at 5:33 PM ET32.9897
Projected change across the window-24.401
Actual change across the window-36.8379
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.66×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.66 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:35 PM ET), where they sat 0.0332685 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (9:53 PM ET) with a gap of 48.0656. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (7:55 PM ET), a move of -40.2299. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:01 PM64.318370.6897+6.3714
66:56 PM53.843188.5057+34.6626
1212:50 AM47.15643.53982-43.6165
186:44 AM48.104410.1266-37.9778
2412:38 PM47.940618.5567-29.3839
295:33 PM45.426632.9897-12.4369

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 59-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.