Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 11:44 AM to 4:15 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 22, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 17.9487. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:15 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.61542.6377.65Sep 22, 11:44 AM ET4:15 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:44 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.61542.6377.65Sep 22, 11:44 AM ET4:15 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:44 AM ET17.9487
Projected value at 4:15 PM ET49.1275
Actual value at 4:15 PM ET60.4545
Projected change across the window+31.1788
Actual change across the window+42.5058
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (2:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.334767 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (7:24 AM ET) with a gap of 45.7208. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (11:20 AM ET), a move of +35.5287. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:43 PM33.742413.6752-20.0672
65:38 PM56.35466.9565+10.6025
1211:32 PM48.586368.6275+20.0412
185:26 AM48.616162.8571+14.241
2411:20 AM45.914466.055+20.1407
294:15 PM49.127560.4545+11.3271

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 59 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.