Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 500 minute chart, October 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 21, 2026, 1:51 PM to 3:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 21, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 500 minute chart read 79.8658. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.85649.4693.07Oct 21, 1:51 PM ET3:31 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.85649.4693.07Oct 21, 1:51 PM ET3:31 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:51 PM ET79.8658
Projected value at 3:31 PM ET24.2678
Actual value at 3:31 PM ET27.4725
Projected change across the window-55.598
Actual change across the window-52.3932
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (3:11 AM ET), where they sat 0.827392 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (3:51 PM ET) with a gap of 81.5657. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (3:11 AM ET), a move of +39.5062. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 PM64.989397.3154+32.3262
63:51 PM15.870297.4359+81.5657
125:51 PM57.73152.5-5.23095
187:51 PM54.382687.6543+33.2717
249:51 PM97.40116.9492-80.4518
293:31 PM24.267827.4725+3.20476

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 500 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 500 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 250 hours of trading, so the window above describes 250 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.