Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 500 minute chart, October 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 21, 2026, 10:36 AM to 12:16 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On October 21, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 500 minute chart read 10.101. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:16 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.15143.5181.86Oct 21, 10:36 AM ET12:16 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.15143.5181.86Oct 21, 10:36 AM ET12:16 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:36 AM ET10.101
Projected value at 12:16 PM ET53.8263
Actual value at 12:16 PM ET41.9355
Projected change across the window+43.7253
Actual change across the window+31.8345
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.37×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.37 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (2:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.46098 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (1:36 PM ET) with a gap of 75.3173. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (1:56 AM ET), a move of +48.6568. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:56 PM24.137112.1212-12.0158
612:36 PM42.48779.00901-33.4787
122:36 PM23.419431.6327+8.21327
184:36 PM28.516213.6986-14.8176
246:36 PM55.488562.3377+6.84913
2912:16 PM53.826341.9355-11.8908

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 500 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 500 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 250 hours of trading, so the window above describes 250 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NT8 AI indicator performance tracking A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.