Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 13, 2026, 4:01 PM to 4:30 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 13, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 96.2382. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:30 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.6552.5194.38Oct 13, 4:01 PM ET4:30 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:01 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.6552.5194.38Oct 13, 4:01 PM ET4:30 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:01 PM ET96.2382
Projected value at 4:30 PM ET49.7751
Actual value at 4:30 PM ET10.1124
Projected change across the window-46.4632
Actual change across the window-86.1259
Bars moving the same direction18 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 64% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (4:23 PM ET), where they sat 1.93471 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (4:15 PM ET) with a gap of 80.8826. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (4:17 PM ET), a move of -52.5709. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:02 PM68.920895.2978+26.377
64:07 PM73.118391.7391+18.6209
124:13 PM40.930388.8112+47.8809
184:19 PM65.78485+19.216
244:25 PM76.107414.0969-62.0105
294:30 PM49.775110.1124-39.6627

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.