Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 10, 2026, 3:55 PM to 4:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 74.2857. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.5553.8892.2Oct 10, 3:55 PM ET4:24 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.5553.8892.2Oct 10, 3:55 PM ET4:24 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:55 PM ET74.2857
Projected value at 4:24 PM ET31.2179
Actual value at 4:24 PM ET97.351
Projected change across the window-43.0678
Actual change across the window+23.0653
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (4:18 PM ET), where they sat 0.00228679 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (4:04 PM ET) with a gap of 74.2475. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (4:06 PM ET), a move of -47.8. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:56 PM38.425478.5714+40.146
64:01 PM30.050880+49.9492
124:07 PM20.805610.4-10.4056
184:13 PM47.556839.8374-7.71937
244:19 PM31.004952.349+21.3441
294:24 PM31.217997.351+66.1331

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.