Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 10:27 PM to 10:56 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 10:27 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 93.5065. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:56 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

23.4758.6593.83Oct 7, 10:27 PM ET10:56 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

23.4758.6593.83Oct 7, 10:27 PM ET10:56 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:27 PM ET93.5065
Projected value at 10:56 PM ET48.0743
Actual value at 10:56 PM ET62.2642
Projected change across the window-45.4322
Actual change across the window-31.2423
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.45×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.45 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (10:29 PM ET), where they sat 1.63317 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (10:53 PM ET) with a gap of 45.9535. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (10:31 PM ET), a move of +28.1282. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:28 PM69.211481.6901+12.4788
610:33 PM62.935452.5-10.4354
1210:39 PM47.44818.75-28.698
1810:45 PM52.574585.0575+32.483
2410:51 PM49.631894.2857+44.6539
2910:56 PM48.074362.2642+14.1899

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.