Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 6:37 AM to 7:06 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 6:37 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 80.5195. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:06 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.8349.2492.65Oct 7, 6:37 AM ET7:06 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.8349.2492.65Oct 7, 6:37 AM ET7:06 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:37 AM ET80.5195
Projected value at 7:06 AM ET50.43
Actual value at 7:06 AM ET26.1364
Projected change across the window-30.0895
Actual change across the window-54.3831
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (6:57 AM ET), where they sat 3.5218 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (6:40 AM ET) with a gap of 85.6405. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (6:42 AM ET), a move of -96.4912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:38 AM9.5490161.039+51.49
66:43 AM22.605332.6923+10.087
126:49 AM35.450426-9.45035
186:55 AM39.155350.9434+11.7881
247:01 AM44.03053.94737-40.0832
297:06 AM50.4326.1364-24.2936

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.