Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 5:17 AM to 5:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 5:17 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.63636. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.925094.08Oct 7, 5:17 AM ET5:46 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 5:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.925094.08Oct 7, 5:17 AM ET5:46 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:17 AM ET3.63636
Projected value at 5:46 AM ET50.5102
Actual value at 5:46 AM ET57.5
Projected change across the window+46.8738
Actual change across the window+53.8636
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (5:39 AM ET), where they sat 2.67754 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (5:28 AM ET) with a gap of 67.5868. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (5:43 AM ET), a move of +64.1958. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:18 AM11.82435.43478-6.3895
65:23 AM24.423760+35.5763
125:29 AM34.523861.3333+26.8095
185:35 AM42.31937.5-4.81902
245:41 AM47.5925.8621-21.728
295:46 AM50.510257.5+6.98983

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.