Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 4:48 AM to 5:17 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 4:48 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 57.5. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:17 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

18.5553.2487.93Oct 7, 4:48 AM ET5:17 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:48 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

18.5553.2487.93Oct 7, 4:48 AM ET5:17 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:48 AM ET57.5
Projected value at 5:17 AM ET46.8191
Actual value at 5:17 AM ET48
Projected change across the window-10.6809
Actual change across the window-9.5
Bars moving the same direction16 of 26
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.12×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.12 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:17 AM ET), where they sat 1.18092 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (5:09 AM ET) with a gap of 47.0308. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (5:04 AM ET), a move of +27.1795. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:49 AM59.50665+5.49405
64:54 AM45.51125-20.511
125:00 AM38.728313.8889-24.8394
185:06 AM44.065253.5714+9.50618
245:12 AM43.319660.8696+17.55
295:17 AM46.819148+1.18092

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.