Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 3:42 AM to 4:11 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 3:42 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 39.3443. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:11 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

16.1553.6391.12Oct 7, 3:42 AM ET4:11 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

16.1553.6391.12Oct 7, 3:42 AM ET4:11 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:42 AM ET39.3443
Projected value at 4:11 AM ET54.3941
Actual value at 4:11 AM ET26.1261
Projected change across the window+15.0498
Actual change across the window-13.2181
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (4:09 AM ET), where they sat 0.409185 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (4:00 AM ET) with a gap of 49.1585. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (3:47 AM ET), a move of -42.5926. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:43 AM50.311436.0656-14.2459
63:48 AM44.344411.1111-33.2333
123:54 AM40.357448.6486+8.29122
184:00 AM45.686994.8454+49.1585
244:06 AM49.919566.6667+16.7471
294:11 AM54.394126.1261-28.2679

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.