Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 2:08 AM to 2:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 2:08 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.5355. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

4.7364075.26Oct 7, 2:08 AM ET2:37 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

4.7364075.26Oct 7, 2:08 AM ET2:37 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:08 AM ET17.5355
Projected value at 2:37 AM ET44.0192
Actual value at 2:37 AM ET65.4545
Projected change across the window+26.4836
Actual change across the window+47.919
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (2:11 AM ET), where they sat 1.66955 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (2:30 AM ET) with a gap of 42.173. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (2:34 AM ET), a move of +32.967. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:09 AM11.159814.218+3.0582
62:14 AM21.27481.49254-19.7823
122:20 AM37.21632.1839-5.0321
182:26 AM47.281613.3333-33.9483
242:32 AM51.875821.7949-30.081
292:37 AM44.019265.4545+21.4354

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.