Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 11:30 PM to 11:59 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 32. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:59 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2756.2285.44Oct 6, 11:30 PM ET11:59 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:30 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2756.2285.44Oct 6, 11:30 PM ET11:59 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:30 PM ET32
Projected value at 11:59 PM ET60.8741
Actual value at 11:59 PM ET72.4138
Projected change across the window+28.8741
Actual change across the window+40.4138
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (11:34 PM ET), where they sat 0.985051 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:32 PM ET) with a gap of 44.3124. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (11:54 PM ET), a move of +43.8596. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:31 PM68.006624-44.0066
611:36 PM60.788569.2308+8.44224
1211:42 PM60.385189.3617+28.9766
1811:48 PM57.708568.3333+10.6248
2411:54 PM58.422784.2105+25.7878
2911:59 PM60.874172.4138+11.5397

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.