Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 11:18 PM to 11:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 11:18 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 89.3617. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

33.0959.4585.82Oct 6, 11:18 PM ET11:47 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

33.0959.4585.82Oct 6, 11:18 PM ET11:47 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:18 PM ET89.3617
Projected value at 11:47 PM ET52.3402
Actual value at 11:47 PM ET32.9545
Projected change across the window-37.0215
Actual change across the window-56.4072
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.66×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.66 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (11:36 PM ET), where they sat 1.18879 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (11:31 PM ET) with a gap of 31.8825. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (11:30 PM ET), a move of +43.8596. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:19 PM69.368987.234+17.8652
611:24 PM70.376668.3333-2.04322
1211:30 PM54.2484.2105+29.9706
1811:36 PM53.111951.9231-1.18879
2411:42 PM53.924442.0455-11.879
2911:47 PM52.340232.9545-19.3857

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.