Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 8:32 PM to 9:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 8:32 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.7368. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.50546.4987.48Oct 6, 8:32 PM ET9:01 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 8:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.50546.4987.48Oct 6, 8:32 PM ET9:01 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:32 PM ET19.7368
Projected value at 9:01 PM ET56.4049
Actual value at 9:01 PM ET66.6667
Projected change across the window+36.6681
Actual change across the window+46.9298
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.78 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (8:50 PM ET), where they sat 0.261455 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:32 PM ET) with a gap of 61.7883. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (9:00 PM ET), a move of +88.8158. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:33 PM83.59432.8947-50.6993
68:38 PM72.484970.5882-1.89671
128:44 PM69.880664.8936-4.98695
188:50 PM66.928166.6667-0.261455
248:56 PM61.50585.64516-55.8607
299:01 PM56.404966.6667+10.2617

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.