Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 2, 2026, 2:33 PM to 3:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 2, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 36.7965. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.8352.0993.35Oct 2, 2:33 PM ET3:02 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.8352.0993.35Oct 2, 2:33 PM ET3:02 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:33 PM ET36.7965
Projected value at 3:02 PM ET64.6484
Actual value at 3:02 PM ET83.9934
Projected change across the window+27.8518
Actual change across the window+47.1969
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (2:40 PM ET), where they sat 2.3548 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (2:35 PM ET) with a gap of 80.3419. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (2:38 PM ET), a move of +51.4759. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:34 PM88.248433.7662-54.4822
62:39 PM80.344595.7364+15.3919
122:45 PM72.568287.9365+15.3683
182:51 PM60.15563.9706+3.81558
242:57 PM57.480778.2178+20.7371
293:02 PM64.648483.9934+19.345

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.