Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 2, 2026, 11:24 AM to 11:53 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 2, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 93.5673. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:53 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.02848.1188.18Oct 2, 11:24 AM ET11:53 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:24 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.02848.1188.18Oct 2, 11:24 AM ET11:53 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:24 AM ET93.5673
Projected value at 11:53 AM ET35.5761
Actual value at 11:53 AM ET44.1558
Projected change across the window-57.9911
Actual change across the window-49.4114
Bars moving the same direction19 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.17×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.17 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 68% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:45 AM ET), where they sat 0.16201 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:24 AM ET) with a gap of 53.2771. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:35 AM ET), a move of -33.376. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:25 AM38.566789.4737+50.907
611:30 AM40.042231.7204-8.32181
1211:36 AM33.25698.46561-24.7913
1811:42 AM39.064883.3333+44.2685
2411:48 AM36.942738.8235+1.88086
2911:53 AM35.576144.1558+8.57973

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.