Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 2, 2026, 10:33 AM to 11:02 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 2, 2026 at 10:33 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 83.6158. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:02 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.09750.892.5Oct 2, 10:33 AM ET11:02 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.09750.892.5Oct 2, 10:33 AM ET11:02 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:33 AM ET83.6158
Projected value at 11:02 AM ET43.8392
Actual value at 11:02 AM ET25.3521
Projected change across the window-39.7766
Actual change across the window-58.2637
Bars moving the same direction20 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 71% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (10:42 AM ET), where they sat 1.38174 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (10:37 AM ET) with a gap of 71.4639. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:40 AM ET), a move of -46.4286. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:34 AM19.912764.9718+45.0591
610:39 AM30.138395.7143+65.576
1210:45 AM47.895237.5723-10.323
1810:51 AM50.092620.2186-29.874
2410:57 AM44.22423.4965-40.7277
2911:02 AM43.839225.3521-18.4871

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.