Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 2, 2026, 9:28 AM to 9:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 2, 2026 at 9:28 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.2043. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.66548.7389.79Oct 2, 9:28 AM ET9:57 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 9:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.66548.7389.79Oct 2, 9:28 AM ET9:57 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:28 AM ET17.2043
Projected value at 9:57 AM ET50.2837
Actual value at 9:57 AM ET60.8392
Projected change across the window+33.0794
Actual change across the window+43.6349
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.76 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (9:45 AM ET), where they sat 3.50378 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (9:43 AM ET) with a gap of 44.9656. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (9:57 AM ET), a move of +52.4476. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:29 AM38.93162.15054-36.7811
69:34 AM49.599571.2575+21.658
129:40 AM54.965182.2857+27.3206
189:46 AM51.607446.2428-5.36467
249:52 AM51.267310.2703-40.997
299:57 AM50.283760.8392+10.5554

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.