Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 4:24 PM to 4:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 4:24 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 75.9615. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.7555.8894.01Oct 1, 4:24 PM ET4:53 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.7555.8894.01Oct 1, 4:24 PM ET4:53 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:24 PM ET75.9615
Projected value at 4:53 PM ET48.4353
Actual value at 4:53 PM ET99.1342
Projected change across the window-27.5263
Actual change across the window+23.1727
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.19×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.19 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (4:33 PM ET), where they sat 3.46022 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (4:31 PM ET) with a gap of 68.6591. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (4:32 PM ET), a move of -37.6114. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:25 PM35.700252.4038+16.7037
64:30 PM23.337270.1923+46.8552
124:36 PM24.824453.6585+28.8341
184:42 PM36.519896.063+59.5432
244:48 PM45.426175.9003+30.4741
294:53 PM48.435399.1342+50.6989

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.