Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 12:55 PM to 1:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.53191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.27846.3886.48Oct 1, 12:55 PM ET1:24 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.27846.3886.48Oct 1, 12:55 PM ET1:24 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:55 PM ET5.53191
Projected value at 1:24 PM ET45.1475
Actual value at 1:24 PM ET64.2424
Projected change across the window+39.6156
Actual change across the window+58.7105
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (12:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.488749 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (1:15 PM ET) with a gap of 55.7649. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (1:07 PM ET), a move of +50.4939. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:56 PM6.740328.3682+1.62788
61:01 PM11.81626.4706+14.6546
121:07 PM28.839153.4351+24.596
181:13 PM31.629556.8528+25.2233
241:19 PM38.848373.0061+34.1579
291:24 PM45.147564.2424+19.0949

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.