Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 2:27 AM to 2:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 2:27 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 84.6154. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

23.2156.8690.52Oct 1, 2:27 AM ET2:56 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:27 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

23.2156.8690.52Oct 1, 2:27 AM ET2:56 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:27 AM ET84.6154
Projected value at 2:56 AM ET69.6975
Actual value at 2:56 AM ET64.2857
Projected change across the window-14.9179
Actual change across the window-20.3297
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (2:39 AM ET), where they sat 0.560168 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:27 AM ET) with a gap of 65.9271. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (2:28 AM ET), a move of -45.4545. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:28 AM27.976739.1608+11.1841
62:33 AM44.943256.6667+11.7234
122:39 AM71.093471.6535+0.560168
182:45 AM63.157472.5664+9.40896
242:51 AM64.876869.4118+4.53494
292:56 AM69.697564.2857-5.41175

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.