Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:54 PM to 12:23 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:54 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.913. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:23 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

28.3561.3894.41Sep 30, 11:54 PM ET12:23 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

28.3561.3894.41Sep 30, 11:54 PM ET12:23 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:54 PM ET23.913
Projected value at 12:23 AM ET64.6089
Actual value at 12:23 AM ET68.6667
Projected change across the window+40.6959
Actual change across the window+44.7536
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.38965 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:54 PM ET) with a gap of 68.2538. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (12:20 AM ET), a move of -29.872. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:55 PM91.508634.5455-56.9631
612:00 AM84.696974.1497-10.5473
1212:06 AM82.257490.8629+8.60557
1812:12 AM77.490698.8506+21.3599
2412:18 AM72.461792.1053+19.6436
2912:23 AM64.608968.6667+4.05777

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.