Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 3:25 PM to 3:54 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.6731. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:54 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.40345.9183.42Sep 30, 3:25 PM ET3:54 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:25 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.40345.9183.42Sep 30, 3:25 PM ET3:54 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:25 PM ET20.6731
Projected value at 3:54 PM ET66.0512
Actual value at 3:54 PM ET86.2745
Projected change across the window+45.3781
Actual change across the window+65.6014
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:52 PM ET), where they sat 0.308858 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (3:28 PM ET) with a gap of 63.2304. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (3:36 PM ET), a move of -37.5. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:26 PM45.08230.2885-14.7935
63:31 PM81.070751.0989-29.9718
123:37 PM77.675350.5952-27.0801
183:43 PM57.166611.828-45.3387
243:49 PM61.663617.9592-43.7044
293:54 PM66.051286.2745+20.2233

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.