Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 12:08 PM to 12:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 30, 2026 at 12:08 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 7.44681. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.40740.6574.9Sep 30, 12:08 PM ET12:37 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.40740.6574.9Sep 30, 12:08 PM ET12:37 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:08 PM ET7.44681
Projected value at 12:37 PM ET48.4485
Actual value at 12:37 PM ET72.0779
Projected change across the window+41.0017
Actual change across the window+64.6311
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (12:17 PM ET), where they sat 3.49499 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:08 PM ET) with a gap of 69.1977. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (12:33 PM ET), a move of +36.9213. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:09 PM73.16884.49438-68.6744
612:14 PM61.68933.1683-28.5207
1212:20 PM59.671635-24.6716
1812:26 PM53.065914.0969-38.969
2412:32 PM55.092411.8182-43.2742
2912:37 PM48.448572.0779+23.6294

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.