Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 9:06 AM to 9:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 9:06 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.17978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.22737.769.18Sep 30, 9:06 AM ET9:35 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 9:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.22737.769.18Sep 30, 9:06 AM ET9:35 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:06 AM ET6.17978
Projected value at 9:35 AM ET45.0197
Actual value at 9:35 AM ET54.2553
Projected change across the window+38.8399
Actual change across the window+48.0755
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (9:22 AM ET), where they sat 1.508 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:06 AM ET) with a gap of 65.8364. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (9:27 AM ET), a move of -36.5517. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:07 AM70.85627.3256-43.5304
69:12 AM61.9476.39535-55.5516
129:18 AM45.11775.05051-40.0672
189:24 AM49.474852.4476+2.97271
249:30 AM52.513723.1884-29.3252
299:35 AM45.019754.2553+9.23562

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.