Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 7:10 AM to 7:39 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 7:10 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 80.2721. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:39 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.2952.9193.52Sep 29, 7:10 AM ET7:39 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:10 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.2952.9193.52Sep 29, 7:10 AM ET7:39 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:10 AM ET80.2721
Projected value at 7:39 AM ET66.199
Actual value at 7:39 AM ET87.7551
Projected change across the window-14.0731
Actual change across the window+7.48299
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (7:30 AM ET), where they sat 1.59867 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:11 AM ET) with a gap of 68.7622. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (7:22 AM ET), a move of -39.5827. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:11 AM27.156195.9184+68.7622
67:16 AM45.046981.6667+36.6197
127:22 AM63.973715.0685-48.9052
187:28 AM58.410380.3279+21.9176
247:34 AM58.51865.2778+6.75982
297:39 AM66.19987.7551+21.5561

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.