Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 6:57 AM to 7:26 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 6:57 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.0685. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:26 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

19.7456.8793.99Sep 29, 6:57 AM ET7:26 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

19.7456.8793.99Sep 29, 6:57 AM ET7:26 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:57 AM ET15.0685
Projected value at 7:26 AM ET68.6026
Actual value at 7:26 AM ET94.8498
Projected change across the window+53.5341
Actual change across the window+79.7813
Bars moving the same direction20 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 71% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (7:08 AM ET), where they sat 2.42663 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:57 AM ET) with a gap of 76.0518. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (7:00 AM ET), a move of +38.0761. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:58 AM88.436942.623-45.8139
67:03 AM85.045880.3279-4.71796
127:09 AM76.188565.2778-10.9107
187:15 AM68.475891.3043+22.8285
247:21 AM63.361693.5115+30.1499
297:26 AM68.602694.8498+26.2471

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.