Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 5:48 AM to 6:17 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 5:48 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 88.3721. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:17 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.23244.1983.14Sep 29, 5:48 AM ET6:17 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 5:48 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.23244.1983.14Sep 29, 5:48 AM ET6:17 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:48 AM ET88.3721
Projected value at 6:17 AM ET59.9299
Actual value at 6:17 AM ET58.5799
Projected change across the window-28.4422
Actual change across the window-29.7922
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (6:17 AM ET), where they sat 1.34997 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (6:12 AM ET) with a gap of 58.7593. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (5:59 AM ET), a move of -48.0899. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:49 AM82.611176.8519-5.75922
65:54 AM78.844785.2535+6.40872
126:00 AM63.431710.4693-52.9624
186:06 AM56.94831.36986-55.5785
246:12 AM58.75930-58.7593
296:17 AM59.929958.5799-1.34997

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.