Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 5:39 AM to 6:08 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 5:39 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 67.6471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:08 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.64947.7189.77Sep 29, 5:39 AM ET6:08 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 5:39 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.64947.7189.77Sep 29, 5:39 AM ET6:08 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:39 AM ET67.6471
Projected value at 6:08 AM ET29.4437
Actual value at 6:08 AM ET28.2895
Projected change across the window-38.2034
Actual change across the window-39.3576
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (6:08 AM ET), where they sat 1.15421 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (6:01 AM ET) with a gap of 58.0372. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (5:40 AM ET), a move of -48.0899. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:40 AM53.039619.5572-33.4824
65:45 AM31.22696.50407-24.7229
125:51 AM29.21028.3871-20.8231
185:57 AM33.41855.0296+21.6116
246:03 AM32.248263.3803+31.132
296:08 AM29.443728.2895-1.15421

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.