Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 2:23 AM to 2:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 29, 2026 at 2:23 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 63.2287. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.7752.4492.1Sep 29, 2:23 AM ET2:52 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.7752.4492.1Sep 29, 2:23 AM ET2:52 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:23 AM ET63.2287
Projected value at 2:52 AM ET44.542
Actual value at 2:52 AM ET52.8926
Projected change across the window-18.6867
Actual change across the window-10.3361
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (2:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.319839 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (2:41 AM ET) with a gap of 55.6545. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (2:35 AM ET), a move of -55.7701. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:24 AM86.871855.6054-31.2664
62:29 AM79.769869.5906-10.1791
122:35 AM60.914931.5315-29.3834
182:41 AM63.10137.44681-55.6545
242:47 AM52.540742.1488-10.392
292:52 AM44.54252.8926+8.35053

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.