Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 12:03 AM to 12:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 12:03 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 80. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.09443.0280.95Sep 29, 12:03 AM ET12:32 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.09443.0280.95Sep 29, 12:03 AM ET12:32 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:03 AM ET80
Projected value at 12:32 AM ET41.0135
Actual value at 12:32 AM ET28.2051
Projected change across the window-38.9865
Actual change across the window-51.7949
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (12:07 AM ET), where they sat 3.00128 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:03 AM ET) with a gap of 70.0489. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:04 AM ET), a move of -61.3793. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:04 AM11.896718.6207+6.72395
612:09 AM26.234874.6575+48.4228
1212:15 AM35.922432.2034-3.71906
1812:21 AM33.937915.1515-18.7864
2412:27 AM42.527686.0465+43.5189
2912:32 AM41.013528.2051-12.8083

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.