Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 12:27 PM to 12:56 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.8953. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:56 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.09550.8492.59Sep 28, 12:27 PM ET12:56 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.09550.8492.59Sep 28, 12:27 PM ET12:56 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:27 PM ET19.8953
Projected value at 12:56 PM ET70.7086
Actual value at 12:56 PM ET74.6988
Projected change across the window+50.8133
Actual change across the window+54.8035
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:56 PM ET), where they sat 3.99019 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:27 PM ET) with a gap of 74.7045. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:56 PM ET), a move of +71.2104. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:28 PM93.542648.1675-45.375
612:33 PM87.270619.2118-68.0587
1212:39 PM71.403990.6024+19.1985
1812:45 PM56.664490.4177+33.7533
2412:51 PM69.664193.4426+23.7785
2912:56 PM70.708674.6988+3.99019

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.