Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 11:26 AM to 11:55 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 28, 2026 at 11:26 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 99.061. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:55 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.6954.7593.82Sep 28, 11:26 AM ET11:55 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:26 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.6954.7593.82Sep 28, 11:26 AM ET11:55 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:26 AM ET99.061
Projected value at 11:55 AM ET54.9256
Actual value at 11:55 AM ET45.3488
Projected change across the window-44.1354
Actual change across the window-53.7122
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (11:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.290143 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (11:33 AM ET) with a gap of 49.6322. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (11:53 AM ET), a move of -53.8685. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:27 AM75.945389.7196+13.7744
611:32 AM61.622917.9641-43.6588
1211:38 AM53.874110.4478-43.4263
1811:44 AM53.256231.8182-21.438
2411:50 AM50.655476.7442+26.0887
2911:55 AM54.925645.3488-9.57679

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.