Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 7:47 AM to 8:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 7:47 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 81.8713. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.194477.81Sep 28, 7:47 AM ET8:16 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:47 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.194477.81Sep 28, 7:47 AM ET8:16 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:47 AM ET81.8713
Projected value at 8:16 AM ET44.3618
Actual value at 8:16 AM ET43.871
Projected change across the window-37.5096
Actual change across the window-38.0004
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (7:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.103194 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (7:55 AM ET) with a gap of 43.3663. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (8:10 AM ET), a move of +46.4912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:48 AM41.960342.6901+0.729723
67:53 AM39.869244+4.1308
127:59 AM41.203157.0312+15.8282
188:05 AM33.811612.0968-21.7148
248:11 AM37.725258.4746+20.7494
298:16 AM44.361843.871-0.490812

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.