Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 1:35 AM to 2:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 59.1954. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.03749.8790.69Sep 28, 1:35 AM ET2:04 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:35 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.03749.8790.69Sep 28, 1:35 AM ET2:04 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:35 AM ET59.1954
Projected value at 2:04 AM ET41.1958
Actual value at 2:04 AM ET50
Projected change across the window-17.9996
Actual change across the window-9.1954
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (1:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.765373 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:39 AM ET) with a gap of 74.41. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (1:51 AM ET), a move of -51.6062. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:36 AM15.308865.5172+50.2084
61:41 AM23.755188.2051+64.45
121:47 AM36.814237.5796+0.765373
181:53 AM41.30713.5533-37.7538
241:59 AM44.565847.0199+2.45404
292:04 AM41.195850+8.80424

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.