Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 11:49 PM to 12:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 11:49 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 80.1075. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.0952.592.9Sep 27, 11:49 PM ET12:18 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.0952.592.9Sep 27, 11:49 PM ET12:18 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:49 PM ET80.1075
Projected value at 12:18 AM ET52.2571
Actual value at 12:18 AM ET95.5752
Projected change across the window-27.8504
Actual change across the window+15.4677
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (11:58 PM ET), where they sat 2.02799 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (12:17 AM ET) with a gap of 44.3307. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (11:55 PM ET), a move of -38.8083. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:50 PM76.86798.324+21.457
611:55 PM61.635423.5294-38.106
1212:01 AM51.990656.701+4.71044
1812:07 AM50.284831.3953-18.8894
2412:13 AM50.189268.4211+18.2318
2912:18 AM52.257195.5752+43.3181

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.