Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 7:17 PM to 7:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 7:17 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 86.1314. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

22.6457.5792.5Sep 27, 7:17 PM ET7:46 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

22.6457.5792.5Sep 27, 7:17 PM ET7:46 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:17 PM ET86.1314
Projected value at 7:46 PM ET52.9511
Actual value at 7:46 PM ET53.3784
Projected change across the window-33.1803
Actual change across the window-32.753
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:46 PM ET), where they sat 0.427289 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (7:33 PM ET) with a gap of 38.6874. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (7:43 PM ET), a move of +52.4217. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:18 PM84.568383.2117-1.35667
67:23 PM59.906259.2593-0.646918
127:29 PM51.389648.0769-3.31264
187:35 PM48.389875.2212+26.8314
247:41 PM52.455923.8095-28.6463
297:46 PM52.951153.3784+0.427289

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.