Fast Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 10:52 AM to 11:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.55738. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

11.8751.4390.98Sep 16, 10:52 AM ET11:21 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

11.8751.4390.98Sep 16, 10:52 AM ET11:21 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:52 AM ET6.55738
Projected value at 11:21 AM ET47.2839
Actual value at 11:21 AM ET53.7634
Projected change across the window+40.7265
Actual change across the window+47.2061
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (11:20 AM ET), where they sat 0.718767 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (11:03 AM ET) with a gap of 46.5395. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:59 AM ET), a move of +38.0952. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:53 AM41.558427.1186-14.4398
610:58 AM31.637423.8095-7.82784
1211:04 AM50.630593.3333+42.7029
1811:10 AM51.004350-1.00432
2411:16 AM50.196478.6885+28.4922
2911:21 AM47.283953.7634+6.47956

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.